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Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)
the high marks or did they fail? we asked matt dowd, chief strategist for the 2004 bush/cheney campaign and abc news consultant. let's grade what happened tonight. first, the big dog with the big speech. >> big speech, "a." he can give a speech. part professor, part preacher, he loves doing it, the crowd loves him, "a," overall "a" on that speech. >> as a political professional, you see him go on and on, i've been told the teleprompter operators when he ad libs go frantic. >> most people want him to keep going. whether or not you agree with him or disagree with him. you love to listen to that. as if you're listening to the radio 75 years ago. you want it to keep going. >> 20 years ago he won the presidency on the slogan, james carville's line, it's the economy, stupid. that's the issue in this election. how'd he do on that? >> i would give him a "b" on that. i think his job is to connect better with barack obama and what barack obama's argument needed to make. he started it, he gave a chunk of it. i thought he spent too much time on some of the other things. medicare, the debt, not enou
much. >>> i want to bring in abc news political analyst matt dowd who advised both republican and democratic campaigns age that is always great to have you with us. you have three things for everyone to watch for. one of the things you point out body language could have a bigger impact on words. we remember al gore and george bush having a field day with those. >> i've had a record of that in texas. >> as if the sighing weren't bad enough gore's behavior got worse. [ laughter ] >> in that same year we remember the moment when al gore got up, walked over towards governor bush and this is his reaction. >> flying to get things done. >> and i believe i can. [ laughter ] >> famous moment, years prior there was h.w. bush checking his watch. famous moments. are these debate prep teams saying this is what you don't do. >> at this point in time they're emphasizing style as opposed to substance right now because debates have changed people's minds have been about physical characteristics and mannerisms in the modern age and not about the substance of the policy answers so paying a lot o
goes a one-point race. >> donna brazile, matt dowd brings up the mannerisms. you were in the al gore camp, everyone thought that he cleaned george bush's clock, but on mannerisms he ended up losing. >> we remember the split screen. al gore was sitting there, rolling his eyes, looking at george bush and basically, he started -- >> did president obama have that vulnerability. >> look, i governor romney speaks in perfect sound bites. i attended many of those republican debates. one thing that's very good at is turning a negative question, a question directed to him into a positive question. he's a very skillful debater. he's been in dress rehearsal for five years. i suspect that governor romney is going to come well prepared to put the president obama on edge. what will the president have to do early on is jump-start and make sure that governor romney never gets the ball back. >> other things working in governor romney's favor, challengers always do well in first debate. >> he really is prepared and he does speak in sound bites and he's very good at this. he'll do well. the key to a deb
. >> reporter: abc analyst matt dowd has advised candidates from both parties and argues the country is more polarized now. only a tiny slice of americans have yet to decide. >> today we only have about 6% of people who are truly swing and truly persuadable. so if you get a four, five or a six-point bounce, it means you're maximizing what absolute you can get. >> reporter: what led to this bounce? dowd points to michelle obama's performance and to bill clinton and that moment, those voters who chose obama last time who still like him but are disappointed. >> no president, no president, not me, not any of my predecessors, no one could have fully repaired all the damage that he found in just four years. [ cheers and applause ] >> reporter: the romney campaign tonight calling the bounce a, quote, sugar high from the convention, that the reality of the obama economy hasn't changed. suffice it to say it's nearly impossible mathematically for governor romney to win the white house without winning right here in ohio. this is why here in this factory he is here today. romney now with 15 ads up in 9
how that empty chair went, there's a political opportunity being missed here. according to matt dowd. i want to get your reaction to what he said. >> to me the empty chair that matters in all this, the which neither side has talked to, is the empty chair of the man or woman that didn't come home from iraq. their husband or wife is gone or daughter is gone. it's the empty chair of a woman working two shifts because she doesn't have flex time. who will provide that for her? it's the empty chair of a grandfather with alzheimer's that can't be there because they're in a home and the family can't manage them. >> i wonder if both campaigns are listening tonight. do democrats have an advantage after hearing what the republicans said in their own convention? >> president obama gets to spend the week trying to fill clint eastwood's chair. national security and foreign policy almost unmentioned last week at the republican convention. those are areas where president obama feels he has a natural advantage as the commander in chief. >> as you saw this weekend, the white house releasing the behind
, is as significant as a 10-point to 12-point lead 15, 20 years ago. >> reporter: matt dowd has advised both parties. and he recognizes that the country is more polarized now. only a tiny slice of americans have yet to decide. >> today, we have 6% of people who are truly swing and truly persuadable. if you get a four, five, or six-point bounce, you're maximizing what you can get. >> reporter: what led to the bounce? dowd points to michelle obama's performance. and to bill clinton at that moment. >> no president -- no president, not me, not any of my predecessors, no one could have fully repaired all the damage that he found in just four years. >> reporter: the romney campaign tonight calling the bounce a, quote, sugar high from the convention. but the reality from the obama economy hasn't changed. the number most important, october 3rd, debating president obama. less than one month until that first debate. how important are the debates going to be? >> i think the debates are very important. particularly when you have a small sliver that has to make up their mind. >> reporter: david muir, abc news, m
. are they going to like to hear that behind closed doors. >>> let's get to political analyst, matt dowd. matt, you've worked in a lot of campaigns for both parties. where does this register on the richter scale? >> it's somewhere between 6 or 7 on the richter scale. so it does some damage, i think. but i don't know if the foundation is damaged by all of this. the problem with all of this, one, simultaneously, he was saying because it helps the republican base. he thinks that part of this election is a turnout election so it's going to help with that. the ultimate problem is the people who switch back and forth are looking for signals. as you and i talked about, a number of times in the last three months, every time there's been an opportunity for mitt romney to sort of move those undecided voters, he's either made a mistake or made a decision that hasn't helped him in the course of that. >> so many unforced errors, including at the convention. the next big challenge at the debate, october 3rd. that is his chance to turn this around. >> this is like a decathlon. basically, there's five events held.
voters a vision of where exactly he will lead the country. >> matt dowd, the white house talking a lot about the choice before the country tonight. unlikely to hear a lot of mitt romney's name from president obama. >> that's my guess. it's an entirely different circumstance from denver four years ago. the country was on the wrong track. he was riding a big wave. now he's got a wave against him. he's got to convince the public, that they give him hope, but don't make a change, get out ahead of that wave, out into calmer waters. he wants a lot of hope, but doesn't want a lot of change. >> and he's doing it before a big jobs report. >> absolutely. that could do one of two things, give them a bump out of this, or could put water on the whole parade. >> jake tapper, the jobs number will be so critical and the white house knows how much that's going to mean for their bounce or lack of a bounce out of the convention. >> that's right. and what's so important and key about this is that you put millions of dollars and so much effort into a convention like this, and a horrible jobs report could r
to the policies that we had. >> i want to turn to matt dowd now who is with the republican and democratic campaign. as we know, vice president biden is saying don't judge me against the almighty, judge me against the alternative. how is it going so far? >> the numbers show there's two unelectable people running against each other. they both can't win on their own. so you have two people tied for second place, somebody has to do something that's going to break that tie. to me, the thing that's not done by either candidate, maybe it will happen thursday night, beginning tonight, who has a vision for the future. i don't think that barack obama needs to prove that things are better than four years ago. i think he needs to prove that things will be better four years from now. and that's the substance of this convention and the speech. >> and words for the future, the keynote speaker coming up in a few minutes, you spoke to him today, julian castro. >> yes, julian castro, exactly, he's the youngest mayor of the seventh largest city in his country. an extraordinary story. he has an identical twin brother
things to people who work in campaigns. one is how absolutely polarized the modern left person is. matt dowd starts writing a memo even before the supreme court ruled in 2000 looking ahead to the bush reelection in 2004. he said we're in a newly polarized country. this election will not be decided, as we have often thought, by battling over swing voters, moderate independents in the center. think back to the clinton years. this was the paradigm we thought of. he cited a statistic in their that in 1984 according to exit polling, 26% of voters had cast a ballot that included both a democrat and republican at different levels. by 2000, it was down to 7%. that's the environment we are in. parties have realigned. the democrats intend to vote democrat. it is -- they have thousands of datapoint about you. the single one that is most productive is one party or registered. the bond that is most -- the one that is most predictive is how you are registered. the fact is that most people's both are highly predictable and campaign the know this. you cannot at the polls that any given day, but they av
. >> some point reverend mr. chairman, the truth should matter. even matt dowd couldn't take it. >> they are so anxious to win and get up in the polls that they have developed a strategy. and the strategy is we're going to say that the president waived working -- if you're receiving welfare and no matter what the fact checkers say, we'll stick with it. they've done it over and over again. while it will probably work with the base, i don't think it's going to work with all of america. people will grow to resent the fact there are no facts being presented. >> erin, eric cantor was asked by fortune magazine if ryan was being hypocritical for attacking the president's savings on $716 in medicare when his own plan calls for the same cuts. cantor was at a loss for words saying quote, the sumps that the -- the -- the -- again, i probably can't speak to that exact way, so i better just not. very interesting. wouldn't you think so? >> you know, eric cantor's a very smart man and articulate. i actually have a good relationship with him. i'm stunned he could not respond. but he's got to tr
the modern left person is. matt dowd starts writing a memo even before the supreme court ruled in 2000 looking ahead to the bush reelection in 2004. he said we're in a newly polarized country. this election will not be decided, as we have often thought, by battling over swing voters, moderate independents in the center. think back to the clinton years. this was the paradigm we thought of. he cited a statistic in their that in 1984 according to exit polling, 26% of voters had cast a ballot that included both a democrat and republican at different levels. by 2000, it was down to 7%. that's the environment we are in. parties have realigned. the democrats intend to vote democrat. it is -- they have thousands of datapoint about you. the sile one that is most productive is one party or registered. the bond that is most -- the one that is most predictive is how you are registered. the fact is that most people's both are highly predictable and campaign the know this. you cannot at the polls that any given day, but they average out at 48-46. you do the math. that is a% undecided and maybe there
. matt dowd started writing a memo even before the supreme court had ruled in december of 2000, looking ahead to bush opposing reelection in 2004, saying we are a polarized country and this election will not be decided by battling over a swing voters, modern independents in the center. if you think about the clinton years, this was a paradigm with thought of, how elections were waged. he cited a statistics that in 1984 at the polls it was 26% of voters in the country had cast a ballot that included a democrat and republican at different levels. by 2000 it was down to about 7%. that is the environment we are in, basically. parties every line. people are democrats tend to vote. vote -- people who are democratics tend to vote democratic. that is the -- campaigns -- we talk about campaigns with the paradigm they are a big debate on people deciding how to vote when the fact that is most people's votes are predictable and campaigns know this. \ they're averaging out at 48% or 46%. with 7% undecided maybe. there are a few obama voters who must be convinced to defect to omney and vice versa fop
Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)